Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.029701 0.034296 0.039378 0.045421 0.052414 0.060256 0.069727
2026-02-08 0.022250 0.028222 0.035483 0.044971 0.057063 0.071990 0.091860
2026-02-15 0.017801 0.024252 0.032676 0.044509 0.060751 0.082332 0.113310
2026-02-22 0.015186 0.021934 0.031280 0.045210 0.065532 0.094231 0.138080
2026-03-01 0.013011 0.019756 0.029580 0.044989 0.068682 0.103945 0.160816
2026-03-08 0.011093 0.017603 0.027515 0.043783 0.069987 0.110852 0.180008
2026-03-15 0.009551 0.015774 0.025637 0.042500 0.070839 0.116950 0.198485
2026-03-22 0.008681 0.014880 0.025080 0.043199 0.074878 0.128515 0.227351
2026-03-29 0.007865 0.013954 0.024329 0.043425 0.078068 0.138939 0.255514
2026-04-05 0.007147 0.013096 0.023569 0.043502 0.080939 0.149063 0.284358
2026-04-12 0.006586 0.012444 0.023080 0.043980 0.084549 0.160874 0.317816
2026-04-19 0.006168 0.012002 0.022912 0.045012 0.089294 0.175311 0.358192
2026-04-26 0.005489 0.010987 0.021570 0.043651 0.089277 0.180706 0.381531
2026-05-03 0.005008 0.010307 0.020796 0.043327 0.091312 0.190456 0.415320
2026-05-10 0.004574 0.009667 0.020026 0.042905 0.093069 0.199817 0.449535
2026-05-17 0.004293 0.009314 0.019795 0.043585 0.097250 0.214791 0.498226
2026-05-24 0.003962 0.008811 0.019192 0.043373 0.099423 0.225622 0.538898
2026-05-31 0.003590 0.008172 0.018220 0.042211 0.099281 0.231202 0.567907
2026-06-07 0.003252 0.007573 0.017267 0.040975 0.098804 0.235929 0.595463
2026-06-14 0.003083 0.007346 0.017132 0.041649 0.102974 0.252172 0.654122
2026-06-21 0.002898 0.007058 0.016825 0.041867 0.106049 0.266122 0.708852
2026-06-28 0.002720 0.006768 0.016478 0.041941 0.108767 0.279512 0.764011
2026-07-05 0.002580 0.006553 0.016291 0.042401 0.112540 0.296067 0.830164